Observations which add complexity to strategic planning, frameworks and scenarios

  1. Innovation.  The shift from “access to innovation” to “delivery of innovation” has still not crossed the chasm and happened at scale inside corporates. The former is easy and requires cash, the latter is hard as it needs resolutions of conflicts.

  2. The education cycle is rotating again. There is a movement to learning by doing and less by teaching (rope);  this means the infrastructure (schools. Teachers, books, processes, exams) is not aligned to the outcome

  3. Management tools for certainty are dead, the ability to deal with uncertainty is critical but we lack the new tools, frameworks and teaching.  Those in leadership can have the wrong mindset (closed), old tools and experience that is not relevant. 

  4. Artificial Intelligence resurfacers some 2,000-year-old thinking about morals and ethic. However this time it is less theoretical and more problematic.

  5. What is your purpose?  Do we need to add “slave to a machine” 

  6. Rate of change vs rate of adoption is a continuum, as adoption creates new environments/ markets that we have to adapt to, which creates change.  

  7. Scarcity is more than an intellectual economics challenge now and social issues are now our biggest dilemma 

  8. Personalisation and the individual need to give back (power, agency and influence) to citizenship and community

  9. Distributed and centralised both have value 

  10. We are only finding out that we know less and the complexity of the system has no end in sight as the evolution of a system now creates more complexity

  11. The majority (voting) was never “fair”, political parties and big government was a short blip, but now we have a vacuum which is sucking in everything without any regard for anyone.  Where does policy formation go next?

  12. Whilst technology remains neutral, the unintended consequences of technology adoption continues to expand exponentially in both depth, breadth and now height.

  13. What we can see, just like an iceberg, was the wrong thing to focus on in terms of human complexity. The survival of our mind, emotions and feelings means we are looking for the lifeboats,

  14. Walls don’t work for any aspect of life from boarders to health, to hackers, to privacy but we find this addiction very hard to give up - why?

  15. Excess remains bad for humanity, limits remain good for humanity but a balance never seems possible as we don’t like limits, but do like walls?

  16. There is a real social cost of innovation and change, which we like to hide and pretend does not exist and ignore who will pay for it.

  17. Abundance economics ignores that we can now cost the earth, but we remain in a model that we are choosing not to.